For more than a decade, scientists have argued about the warmth of the current interglaciation. Was the warmth of the preindustrial late Holocene natural in origin, the result of orbital changes that had not yet driven the system into a new glacial state? Or was it in considerable degree the result of humans intervening in the climate system through greenhouse gas emissions from early agriculture? Here we summarize new evidence that moves this debate forward by testing both hypotheses.
Late Holocene climate: Natural or anthropogenic?
For more than a decade, scientists have argued about the warmth of the current interglaciation. Was the warmth of the preindustrial late Holocene natural in origin, the result of orbital changes that had not yet driven the system into a new glacial state? Or was it in considerable degree the result of humans intervening in the climate system through greenhouse gas emissions from early agriculture? Here we summarize new evidence that moves this debate forward by testing both hypotheses.
By comparing late Holocene responses to those that occurred during previous interglaciations (in section 2), we assess whether the late Holocene responses look different (and thus anthropogenic) or similar (and thus natural). This comparison reveals anomalous (anthropogenic) signals. In section 3, we review paleoecological and archaeological syntheses that provide ground truth evidence on early anthropogenic releases of greenhouse gases. The available data document large early anthropogenic emissions consistent with the anthropogenic ice core anomalies, but more information is needed to constrain their size. A final section compares natural and anthropogenic interpretations of the δ13C trend in ice core CO2.
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Platform anthropocene Inc. or planthro is a New York
registered, globally active, not-for-profit public charity organization.
planthro targets scientists, students, citizens, governing
bodies, entrepreneurs and stakeholders concerned with the
concept of anthropocene and its multiple implications.
The organization aims at:
● conveying and sharing a lucid view of the complexity
characterizing human interaction with Earth,
● empowering individuals and organisations to work
collaboratively in economic, social, environmental, and
governance contexts,
● supporting and promoting informed and creative solutions
on sustainability, mitigation and adaptive strategies.
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